CDZ — iShares S&P/TSX Canadian Dividend Aristocrats Index ETF
| Factor | β | t-stat | Backtested % | Realized % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Size (SMB) | -0.069 | -1.32 | +0.00% | -0.01% |
| Value (HML) | 0.167 | 5.02 | +1.14% | +1.07% |
| Quality (QMJ) | 0.173 | 3.81 | +1.42% | +0.80% |
| Momentum (UMD) | -0.097 | -3.89 | -1.68% | -1.43% |
| Factor-Beta subtotal · non-market | +0.89% | +0.43% | ||
| Alpha (intercept) | — | 0.17 | +0.31% | |
| Smart-Beta Net · Factor-Beta + Alpha | +1.20% | +0.73% | ||
| + Mkt-RF contribution · market | 0.840 | 21.86 | +4.95% | +5.79% |
| = Total excess return | +6.15% | +6.33% | ||
| + Rf base (%) | 3.46% → 9.61% total | 1.64% → 7.98% total | ||
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Factor decomposition shows what CDZ's historical betas would have earned under each scenario — not a forecast, not investment advice. Backtested simulation assumes loadings stay fixed across the long sample, which is unrealistic for any real-world fund. Use this as one input to ETF due diligence, not a substitute for it.
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