FXM — CI Morningstar Canada Value Index ETF
| Factor | β | t-stat | Backtested % | Realized % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Size (SMB) | 0.203 | 2.91 | -0.03% | -0.04% |
| Value (HML) | 0.290 | 7.18 | +1.95% | +2.40% |
| Quality (QMJ) | 0.182 | 3.14 | +1.50% | +0.84% |
| Momentum (UMD) | 0.026 | 0.82 | +0.46% | +0.55% |
| Factor-Beta subtotal · non-market | +3.87% | +3.75% | ||
| Alpha (intercept) | — | -0.59 | -1.42% | |
| Smart-Beta Net · Factor-Beta + Alpha | +2.45% | +2.32% | ||
| + Mkt-RF contribution · market | 1.023 | 19.58 | +5.86% | +8.68% |
| = Total excess return | +8.31% | +11.04% | ||
| + Rf base (%) | 3.46% → 11.77% total | 1.60% → 12.64% total | ||
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Factor decomposition shows what FXM's historical betas would have earned under each scenario — not a forecast, not investment advice. Backtested simulation assumes loadings stay fixed across the long sample, which is unrealistic for any real-world fund. Use this as one input to ETF due diligence, not a substitute for it.
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