SSPY — Stratified LargeCap Index ETF
| Factor | β | t-stat | Backtested % | Realized % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Size (SMB) | 0.132 | 3.55 | +0.28% | -0.29% |
| Value (HML) | 0.144 | 4.28 | +0.50% | -0.13% |
| Profitability (RMW) | 0.155 | 3.45 | +0.49% | +0.54% |
| Investment (CMA) | 0.151 | 3.11 | +0.45% | -0.12% |
| Momentum (UMD) | -0.034 | -1.30 | -0.24% | -0.09% |
| Factor-Beta subtotal · non-market | +1.48% | -0.08% | ||
| Alpha (intercept) | — | -0.97 | -1.12% | |
| Smart-Beta Net · Factor-Beta + Alpha | +0.36% | -1.20% | ||
| + Mkt-RF contribution · market | 0.935 | 43.40 | +5.74% | +10.34% |
| = Total excess return | +6.10% | +8.99% | ||
| + Rf base (%) | 4.44% → 10.54% total | 1.94% → 10.93% total | ||
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Factor decomposition shows what SSPY's historical betas would have earned under each scenario — not a forecast, not investment advice. Backtested simulation assumes loadings stay fixed across the long sample, which is unrealistic for any real-world fund. Use this as one input to ETF due diligence, not a substitute for it.
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