VFMF — Vanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF
| Factor | β | t-stat | Backtested % | Realized % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Size (SMB) | 0.441 | 10.20 | +0.87% | -1.16% |
| Value (HML) | 0.350 | 9.44 | +1.18% | -0.32% |
| Profitability (RMW) | 0.153 | 3.07 | +0.48% | +0.60% |
| Investment (CMA) | -0.007 | -0.13 | -0.02% | -0.00% |
| Momentum (UMD) | 0.133 | 4.38 | +0.94% | +0.24% |
| Factor-Beta subtotal · non-market | +3.44% | -0.65% | ||
| Alpha (intercept) | — | -0.36 | -0.49% | |
| Smart-Beta Net · Factor-Beta + Alpha | +2.96% | -1.14% | ||
| + Mkt-RF contribution · market | 0.953 | 40.80 | +5.83% | +10.44% |
| = Total excess return | +8.79% | +8.99% | ||
| + Rf base (%) | 4.44% → 13.23% total | 2.56% → 11.55% total | ||
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Factor decomposition shows what VFMF's historical betas would have earned under each scenario — not a forecast, not investment advice. Backtested simulation assumes loadings stay fixed across the long sample, which is unrealistic for any real-world fund. Use this as one input to ETF due diligence, not a substitute for it.
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