VUG — Vanguard Growth ETF
Long live record
Full long-run factor record
What VUG Is
VUG (Vanguard Growth ETF) from Vanguard is a US equity ETF with $195.6B in assets, regressed on the FF6 US over 266 months. The fund tilts away from value (hml) (β=-0.27). Backtested-simulation excess return is +4.96% annualized; the in-sample realized excess was +9.65%.
Why VUG Ranks This Way
- Backtested relative Sharpe is 0.76, below the market's 1.00 benchmark.
- Realized relative Sharpe is 1.03 over the fund's 266-month live sample.
- Strongest non-market tilts point away from value (hml) (β=-0.27) and away from investment (cma) (β=-0.13).
- Dividend valuation looks rich at 355 versus a 100 median baseline.
This fund is classified as US Equity because that factor set produced the strongest accepted fit. Backtested figures use the winning model's full factor history (1963-Jul → 2026-Apr, 754 months), while the betas themselves are estimated over the fund-overlap window (266 months).
| Factor | β | t-stat | Backtested % | Realized % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Size (SMB) | -0.107 | -4.84 | -0.24% | +0.01% |
| Value (HML) | -0.273 | -12.73 | -1.01% | -0.02% |
| Profitability (RMW) | 0.004 | 0.15 | +0.01% | +0.02% |
| Investment (CMA) | -0.134 | -4.12 | -0.40% | +0.02% |
| Momentum (UMD) | -0.007 | -0.57 | -0.05% | -0.01% |
| Non-Market Factor Contribution · combined non-market series | -1.70% | -0.01% | ||
| Alpha (intercept) | — | 0.61 | +0.37% | |
| Smart-Beta Net · combined non-market series + alpha | -1.33% | +0.36% | ||
| + Mkt-RF contribution · market | 1.073 | 83.91 | +6.48% | +9.19% |
| = Total excess return | +4.96% | +9.65% | ||
| + Rf base (%) | 4.44% → 9.40% total | 1.68% → 11.33% total | ||
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Verified Factor-Similar ETFs
These funds share the same statistically significant, material FF6 non-market factor set as VUG. Broad-market funds are excluded unless they have verified factor exposure.
FAQ
What does this VUG ETF page measure?
This page evaluates VUG using factor regressions, relative Sharpe, valuation, and peer context. It is designed for ETF due diligence rather than quote tracking.
Why can Backtested Sim. and Realized differ?
Both views use the same estimated betas. The difference is the return window: Backtested Sim. applies them to the full factor history, while Realized applies them only during the fund's live sample.
Why might a high-return fund still look weak here?
A fund can post strong raw returns and still look unattractive on this screen if its non-market factor capture is weak, its implementation drag is high, or its volatility-adjusted return profile is weaker than the market.
How should US investors use this page?
Use it as a starting point for ETF selection: check whether the fund's live behavior, valuation, and peer context line up with the story the product label implies.
Factor decomposition shows what VUG's historical betas would have earned under each scenario — not a forecast, not investment advice. Backtested simulation assumes loadings stay fixed across the long sample, which is unrealistic for any real-world fund. Use this as one input to ETF due diligence, not a substitute for it.
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