US ETF · FF6 US RETURNS IN USD

MVV — ProShares Ultra MidCap400

Fund overlap 2006-Jul → 2026-Apr (238 months) · Backtest basis 1963-Jul → 2026-Apr (754 months) · Adj. R² 0.950 · AUM US$146M · MER 1.01%
Structural context first: age and backtest basis explain how much live history is available versus how far the winning factor model can be replayed. Then fit, scale, cost, valuation, and payoff metrics show whether this is a clean, investable expression of the exposure it claims to deliver.
Age
19.8 years
2006-Jul → 2026-Apr
Long live record
Backtest Basis
62.8 years
1963-Jul → 2026-Apr
Full long-run factor record
Adj. R²
0.950
Very high model fit
AUM
US$0.1B
Emerging scale
MER
1.01%
Very high cost
Dividend valuation
74
Inexpensive
74
80 90 100 110 120+
0.71% Current recurring yield
100 = median · below 100 inexpensive · above 100 rich Dividend valuation scale
Backtested Rel. Sharpe
0.50×
Weak risk-adjusted edge
R
0.5 1.0 1.3 1.8
Relative to a plain market benchmark. 1.0 = market-like risk-adjusted return; above 1.0 clears the market hurdle.
Smart-β Net
-1.57%
Negative value-add
S
-3% 0% 2.5% 4.5%
Annualized non-market factor contribution plus alpha. Above 0% means the smart-beta sleeve added value over plain market exposure.

What MVV Is

MVV (ProShares Ultra MidCap400) from ProShares is a US equity ETF with $0.1B in assets, regressed on the FF6 US over 238 months. The fund tilts toward size (smb) (β=1.00); tilts toward value (hml) (β=0.24); tilts toward profitability (rmw) (β=0.34). Backtested-simulation excess return is +7.32% annualized; the in-sample realized excess was +9.17%.

Why MVV Ranks This Way

  • Backtested relative Sharpe is 0.50, below the market's 1.00 benchmark.
  • Realized relative Sharpe is 0.41 over the fund's 238-month live sample.
  • Strongest non-market tilts point toward size (smb) (β=1.00) and toward profitability (rmw) (β=0.34).
  • Dividend valuation looks inexpensive at 74 versus a 100 median baseline.
Best-fit classification
US Equity FF6 US Regression basis: USD Adj. R² 0.950 Fit window: 238M Backtest basis: 754M

This fund is classified as US Equity because that factor set produced the strongest accepted fit. Backtested figures use the winning model's full factor history (1963-Jul → 2026-Apr, 754 months), while the betas themselves are estimated over the fund-overlap window (238 months).

Factor return decomposition
Each bar = βi × factor return, geometrically annualized. Summary rows are computed from the combined monthly series they name.
Model: FF6 US
Sharpe — Backtested Sim.
0.212
Rel. to market: 0.501
Sharpe — Realized
0.249
Rel. to market: 0.411
How are these computed?

Currency basis: returns and factor contributions on this page are in USD. Fama-French US 6-factor set (Ken French data library, monthly, USD basis).

Classification winner: FF6 US with Adj. R² 0.950.

Factor context panel: each non-market row compares the current fund with stronger-fit public peers using FF6 US. Beta mode shows raw loadings, percentile mode ranks the fund within the positive-exposure subset, and the linked ticker points to the strongest peer in that factor.

Backtested Sim. applies MVV's regression betas to the full factor history (1963-Jul → 2026-Apr, 754 months). Individual factor bars show separately annualized sleeves, while the subtotal rows are computed from the combined monthly non-market and smart-beta series directly. The Sharpe uses MVV's realized in-sample volatility as the denominator — a deliberately conservative choice, since fixed-loading factor returns are smoother than what any real fund actually delivers.

Realized applies the same betas to the factor returns observed during MVV's lifetime only (2006-Jul → 2026-Apr). The Sharpe is the fund's actual excess return over its actual volatility. Full methodology →

Factor exposure context
Each non-market row compares this fund with stronger-fit public peers using FF6 US. Toggle between raw factor beta and percentile rank within the same positive-exposure peer set.
Compared against 342 funds using FF6 US
Peer filter: Equity · AUM floor · 24M+ history · Adj. R² > 0.80 · |βmkt−1| < 0.25 · Non-Mkt > 0
Default view is percentile rank. Switch to β scale when you want the raw loading magnitude.
SMB
-0.30
0
0.23
0.45
0.68
0.90
0
20
40
60
80
90
100
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
β +1.00
97th pct
t +14.4
Current fund: 97th percentile of positive peers · Top decile begins at β +0.88 · Leader: RZV
HML
-0.30
0
0.23
0.45
0.68
0.90
0
20
40
60
80
90
100
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
β +0.24
64th pct
t +3.7
Current fund: 64th percentile of positive peers · Top decile begins at β +0.41 · Leader: KBWB
RMW
-0.30
0
0.23
0.45
0.68
0.90
0
20
40
60
80
90
100
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
β +0.34
94th pct
t +4.0
Current fund: 94th percentile of positive peers · Top decile begins at β +0.29 · Leader: DSMC
CMA
-0.30
0
0.23
0.45
0.68
0.90
0
20
40
60
80
90
100
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
β -0.03
rank n/a
t -0.3
Current fund: non-positive loading · Top decile begins at β +0.22 · Leader: RWJ
UMD
-0.30
0
0.23
0.45
0.68
0.90
0
20
40
60
80
90
100
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
β +0.02
20th pct
t +0.5
Current fund: 20th percentile of positive peers · Top decile begins at β +0.17 · Leader: MTUM
Factor exposures
Factor β t-stat Backtested % Realized %
Size (SMB) 0.996 14.38 +1.69% -1.03%
Value (HML) 0.244 3.68 +0.84% -0.32%
Profitability (RMW) 0.341 3.97 +1.02% +1.10%
Investment (CMA) -0.034 -0.34 -0.10% -0.01%
Momentum (UMD) 0.019 0.49 +0.14% +0.03%
Non-Market Factor Contribution · combined non-market series +3.72% -0.24%
Alpha (intercept) — -2.72 -5.11%
Smart-Beta Net · combined non-market series + alpha -1.57% -5.34%
+ Mkt-RF contribution · market 2.009 52.46 +9.81% +16.96%
= Total excess return +7.32% +9.17%
+ Rf base (%) 4.44% → 11.76% total 1.57% → 10.74% total
Fund snapshot
Issuer
ProShares
Asset class
Equity
Inception
2006-06-19
Dividend yield
0.71%
Div CAGR
-1.25%
Dividend valuation
74 (100=median)
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1 additional factor-similar ETFs are held back for the future comparison view.

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FAQ

What does this MVV ETF page measure?

This page evaluates MVV using factor regressions, relative Sharpe, valuation, and peer context. It is designed for ETF due diligence rather than quote tracking.

Why can Backtested Sim. and Realized differ?

Both views use the same estimated betas. The difference is the return window: Backtested Sim. applies them to the full factor history, while Realized applies them only during the fund's live sample.

Why might a high-return fund still look weak here?

A fund can post strong raw returns and still look unattractive on this screen if its non-market factor capture is weak, its implementation drag is high, or its volatility-adjusted return profile is weaker than the market.

How should US investors use this page?

Use it as a starting point for ETF selection: check whether the fund's live behavior, valuation, and peer context line up with the story the product label implies.

Research disclaimer

Factor decomposition shows what MVV's historical betas would have earned under each scenario — not a forecast, not investment advice. Backtested simulation assumes loadings stay fixed across the long sample, which is unrealistic for any real-world fund. Use this as one input to ETF due diligence, not a substitute for it.

Important context

VerifiedBeta publishes educational ETF research, not personalized investment advice, portfolio management, or security recommendations. Funds that screen well here can still be unsuitable for your objectives, taxes, liquidity needs, or constraints. Review fund documents, methodology assumptions, and your own circumstances before acting. See the full disclaimer.